ATP tennis predict — Jaime Faria vs Ben Shelton

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 01:10

Predicted probability

Jaime Faria

Portugal

22.90%

Ben Shelton

USA

77.10%

Average Odds

4.78 / 1.19

Market probability

19.93% / 80.07%

Why This Prediction?

Ben Shelton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1867 vs 1597), a higher Elo rating (1946 vs 1778) and more wins on hard courts (101 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1778.5 Elo 1946.5

1596.8 Elo (surface) 1867.1

43 Wins 145

13 Wins (surface) 101

10 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.148 Dominance ratio 0.767

79 Rank 6

23.0 Age 23.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaime Faria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ben Shelton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–1L · 91.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Ben Shelton

1st Serve In %

59.6%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Ben Shelton

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

74.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaime Faria 0 – 0 Ben Shelton

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-17

2. round

Jaime Faria #79

Ben Shelton #6

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 6

65 Service Points 85

42 First Serve In 44

27 First Serve Won 29

10 Second Serve Won 24

7 Break Points Saved 11

10 Break Points Faced 12

14 Winners 26

26 Unforced Errors 28

4.8 Average Odds 1.2

Jaime Faria vs Ben Shelton — Prediction