ATP tennis predict — Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery

ATP Hard Tokyo · 1. round 04:05

Predicted probability

Jaime Faria

Portugal

49.89%

Arthur Fery

Great Britain

50.11%

Average Odds

1.83 / 1.95

Market probability

51.59% / 48.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1930.0 Elo 1968.8

1817.6 Elo (surface) 1847.5

48 Wins 27

18 Wins (surface) 15

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.200 Dominance ratio 1.222

61 Rank 36

23.2 Age 24.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaime Faria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Arthur Fery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Arthur Fery

1st Serve In %

59.8%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.2%

58.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Arthur Fery

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

53.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaime Faria and Arthur Fery have never played each other.

Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery — Prediction