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Jacob Fearnley vs Remy Bertola — Prediction

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Jacob Fearnley

Great Britain

70.05%

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

29.95%

Average Odds

1.29  /  3.33

Market probability

72.08%  /  27.92%

Why This Prediction?

Jacob Fearnley is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1829 vs 1644), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1590 vs 1566) and a stronger return game (39.6% vs 34.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1829.4 Elo 1643.8
1590.3 Elo (surface) 1565.6
51 Wins (Challenger) 101
34 Wins (surface) 47
10 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.000 Dominance ratio 0.962
121 Rank 182
25.0 Age 27.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jacob Fearnley

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jacob Fearnley Remy Bertola

1st Serve In %

59.6%
55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%
75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%
29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.1%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.34
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jacob Fearnley Remy Bertola

Break Points Saved %

62.4%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.5%
49.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jacob Fearnley 00 Remy Bertola

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-21
6-4 6-4
3 Aces 4
7 Double Faults 5
71 Service Points 53
42 First Serve In 26
31 First Serve Won 18
13 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 1
4 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Jacob Fearnley — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L L

Remy Bertola — Last 10

L L W L W W L L L L