ATP tennis predict — Jacob Fearnley vs J J Wolf

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Jacob Fearnley

Great Britain

56.53%

J J Wolf

USA

43.47%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.56

Market probability

63.52% / 36.48%

Why This Prediction?

Jacob Fearnley is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1851 vs 1679), a stronger return game (40.9% vs 38.9% of return points won) and a lighter recent match load (40 vs 43 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1850.5 Elo 1678.5

1625.5 Elo (surface) 1743.7

53 Wins (Challenger) 105

36 Wins (surface) 95

12 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.049 Dominance ratio 1.062

121 Rank 652

25.0 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jacob Fearnley

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jacob Fearnley J J Wolf

1st Serve In %

59.6%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.1%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

22.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jacob Fearnley J J Wolf

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.5%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jacob Fearnley 0 – 0 J J Wolf

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Jacob Fearnley #121

J J Wolf #652

7-6 4-6 6-3

12 Aces 7

9 Double Faults 6

102 Service Points 87

54 First Serve In 45

40 First Serve Won 30

20 Second Serve Won 19

6 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Jacob Fearnley vs J J Wolf — Prediction