ATP tennis predict — Jacob Fearnley vs George Loffhagen

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Jacob Fearnley

Great Britain

64.60%

George Loffhagen

Great Britain

35.40%

Average Odds

1.76 / 1.97

Market probability

52.82% / 47.18%

Why This Prediction?

Jacob Fearnley is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1743), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1782 vs 1759) and a stronger return game (41.6% vs 32.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1870.8 Elo 1742.7

1782.1 Elo (surface) 1759.1

58 Wins (Challenger) 29

41 Wins (surface) 25

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.139 Dominance ratio 0.823

96 Rank 374

25.2 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jacob Fearnley

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

George Loffhagen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jacob Fearnley George Loffhagen

1st Serve In %

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.1%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.84

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.3%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

36.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jacob Fearnley George Loffhagen

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

67.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

25.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jacob Fearnley and George Loffhagen have never played each other.

Jacob Fearnley vs George Loffhagen — Prediction