ATP tennis predict — Jack Secord vs Tristan Schoolkate

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Jack Secord

USA

13.99%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

86.01%

Average Odds

8.21 / 1.06

Market probability

11.43% / 88.57%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Schoolkate is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1584 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1595 vs 1500) and more wins on hard courts (99 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1595.3

1500 Elo (surface) 1584.4

0 Wins 30

0 Wins (surface) 24

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.854 Dominance ratio 0.854

1912 Rank 180

None Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Secord

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-26.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Secord Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

60.6%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

67.9%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Secord Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

83.3%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

—

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Secord 0 – 0 Tristan Schoolkate

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 1. round

Tristan Schoolkate #180

Jack Secord #1912

6-3 6-2

4 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 5

55 Service Points 71

27 First Serve In 43

18 First Serve Won 32

9 Second Serve Won 12

7 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 6

18 Winners 13

23 Unforced Errors 18

1.1 Average Odds 8.2

Jack Secord vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction