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Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

50.90%

Trevor Svajda

USA

49.10%

Average Odds

2.24  /  1.47

Market probability

39.62%  /  60.38%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1653.2 Elo 1538.1
1555.9 Elo (surface) 1516.2
10 Wins 4
5 Wins (surface) 4
7 Last 15 form 4
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.894 Dominance ratio 0.861
177 Rank 383
23.4 Age 20.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Trevor Svajda

1st Serve In %

61.6%
57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%
47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%
55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%
27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%
41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Trevor Svajda

Break Points Saved %

54.8%
65.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.6%
62.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%
40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Pinnington Jones 11 Trevor Svajda

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Jack Pinnington Jones #165

Trevor Svajda #390

7-6 6-4
8 Aces 4
6 Double Faults 3
76 Service Points 71
35 First Serve In 37
28 First Serve Won 24
18 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 7
6 Break Points Faced 11
28 Winners 23
28 Unforced Errors 28
2.2 Average Odds 1.5
Hard Winston Salem CH · 2025-09-08
4 Aces 2
5 Double Faults 1
55 Service Points 54
27 First Serve In 35
22 First Serve Won 18
16 Second Serve Won 8
4 Break Points Saved 7
4 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard San Diego CH · 2025-02-24
1 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 3
81 Service Points 68
46 First Serve In 42
29 First Serve Won 25
19 Second Serve Won 11
6 Break Points Saved 0
9 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Jack Pinnington Jones — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L

Trevor Svajda — Last 10

L W L W L L W L W L