ATP tennis predict — Jack Pinnington Jones vs Thomas Faurel

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

70.45%

Thomas Faurel

France

29.55%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.77

Market probability

66.75% / 33.25%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Pinnington Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1731 vs 1553), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1712 vs 1520) and fewer double faults per game (0.20 vs 0.32).

Player Comparison

1731.2 Elo 1552.8

1711.5 Elo (surface) 1520.1

55 Wins (Challenger) 26

37 Wins (surface) 4

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.798 Dominance ratio 0.824

192 Rank 340

23.5 Age 20.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Thomas Faurel

1st Serve In %

61.6%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

41.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Thomas Faurel

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

69.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.6%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

56.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Pinnington Jones and Thomas Faurel have never played each other.

Jack Pinnington Jones vs Thomas Faurel — Prediction