ATP tennis predict — Jack Pinnington Jones vs Michele Ribecai

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · R16 14:05

Predicted probability

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

61.06%

Michele Ribecai

Italy

38.94%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.47

Market probability

62.22% / 37.78%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Pinnington Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1662 vs 1571), more wins on hard courts (6 vs 0) and a stronger serve (61.1% vs 60.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1661.8 Elo 1570.9

1580.9 Elo (surface) 1629.7

54 Wins (Challenger) 28

36 Wins (surface) 17

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.854 Dominance ratio 0.853

165 Rank 264

23.4 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

61.6%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%

40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.6%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Pinnington Jones 0 – 0 Michele Ribecai

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Jack Pinnington Jones #165

Michele Ribecai #264

6-1 6-0

0 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

37 Service Points 37

23 First Serve In 24

5 First Serve Won 17

4 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Jack Pinnington Jones vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction