Jack Pinnington Jones vs Joel Schwaerzler — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
1.86 / 1.83
Market probability
49.59% / 50.41%
Why This Prediction?
Joel Schwaerzler is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1755 vs 1690), a stronger serve (67.6% vs 54.9% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.20).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Jack Pinnington Jones
16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.
Joel Schwaerzler
26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Jack Pinnington Jones and Joel Schwaerzler have never played each other.