ATP tennis predict — Jack Pinnington Jones vs Felix Gill

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 01:30

Predicted probability

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

54.59%

Felix Gill

Great Britain

45.41%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.42

Market probability

61.42% / 38.58%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1638.1 Elo 1594.6

1513.3 Elo (surface) 1645.7

51 Wins (Challenger) 53

33 Wins (surface) 11

7 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.830 Dominance ratio 0.932

172 Rank 218

23.4 Age 24.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Felix Gill

1st Serve In %

61.6%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Felix Gill

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.6%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Pinnington Jones 1 – 0 Felix Gill

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14

R16

Jack Pinnington Jones #172

Felix Gill #218

6-2 2-0

0 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

28 Service Points 34

19 First Serve In 20

10 First Serve Won 13

1 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.0

Grass Nottingham CH · 2024-06-10

Q2

Jack Pinnington Jones #773

Felix Gill #308

6-2 6-2

10 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

47 Service Points 40

32 First Serve In 27

26 First Serve Won 12

9 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jack Pinnington Jones vs Felix Gill — Prediction