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Jack Pinnington Jones vs Daniil Glinka — Prediction

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · SF 12:00

Predicted probability

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

48.50%

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

51.50%

Average Odds

1.61  /  2.20

Market probability

57.74%  /  42.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1743.5 Elo 1731.3
1715.3 Elo (surface) 1729.7
57 Wins (Challenger) 84
39 Wins (surface) 78
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.798 Dominance ratio 1.159
205 Rank 178
23.5 Age 26.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–4L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Daniil Glinka

1st Serve In %

61.6%
61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%
44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
71.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%
68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

36.3%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%
32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%
46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Daniil Glinka

Break Points Saved %

54.8%
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

41.8%
51.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%
45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Pinnington Jones and Daniil Glinka have never played each other.

Jack Pinnington Jones — Last 10

W W L L W W L W L W

Daniil Glinka — Last 10

W W L L W W L W W L