ATP tennis predict — Jack Pinnington Jones vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · QF 02:10

Predicted probability

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

57.36%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

42.64%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.76

Market probability

66.19% / 33.81%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Pinnington Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1655 vs 1580), fewer double faults per game (0.17 vs 0.20) and more aces per game (0.23 vs 0.13).

Player Comparison

1654.5 Elo 1580.0

1544.0 Elo (surface) 1595.1

52 Wins (Challenger) 70

34 Wins (surface) 35

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.836 Dominance ratio 0.951

172 Rank 251

23.4 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

61.6%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Pinnington Jones Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.6%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Pinnington Jones 0 – 0 Andres Andrade

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-15

QF

Jack Pinnington Jones #172

Andres Andrade #251

4-6 7-5 7-6

6 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 6

116 Service Points 108

75 First Serve In 69

52 First Serve Won 49

19 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Jack Pinnington Jones vs Andres Andrade — Prediction