ATP tennis predict — Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Jack Kennedy

USA

21.51%

Liam Draxl

Canada

78.49%

Average Odds

2.99 / 1.35

Market probability

31.11% / 68.89%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1752 vs 1504), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1724 vs 1499) and more wins on hard courts (84 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1504.2 Elo 1752.3

1498.9 Elo (surface) 1723.6

2 Wins (Challenger) 107

2 Wins (surface) 84

2 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.158 Dominance ratio 0.985

388 Rank 209

18.3 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jack Kennedy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Kennedy Liam Draxl

1st Serve In %

60.0%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

16.9%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.6%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.71

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jack Kennedy Liam Draxl

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

22.2%

41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jack Kennedy 0 – 0 Liam Draxl

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Liam Draxl #209

Jack Kennedy #388

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 28

12 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl — Prediction