ATP tennis predict — J J Wolf vs Toby Samuel

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 23:15

Predicted probability

J J Wolf

USA

52.51%

Toby Samuel

Great Britain

47.49%

Average Odds

2.23 / 1.61

Market probability

41.93% / 58.07%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1727.7 Elo 1723.8

1773.7 Elo (surface) 1835.8

74 Wins 4

60 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.891 Dominance ratio 0.970

282 Rank 109

27.6 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Toby Samuel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Toby Samuel

1st Serve In %

54.1%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.6%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Toby Samuel

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

J J Wolf and Toby Samuel have never played each other.

J J Wolf vs Toby Samuel — Prediction