ATP tennis predict — J J Wolf vs Sho Shimabukuro

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 05:35

Predicted probability

J J Wolf

USA

65.89%

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan

34.11%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.05

Market probability

54.23% / 45.77%

Why This Prediction?

J J Wolf is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1781 vs 1633), a higher Elo rating (1738 vs 1727) and more wins on hard courts (61 vs 29).

Player Comparison

1737.8 Elo 1727.5

1781.1 Elo (surface) 1632.9

75 Wins 40

61 Wins (surface) 29

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.991 Dominance ratio 1.049

282 Rank 94

27.6 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Sho Shimabukuro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Sho Shimabukuro

1st Serve In %

54.1%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.6%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Sho Shimabukuro

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

46.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

70.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

J J Wolf 0 – 0 Sho Shimabukuro

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

J J Wolf #282

Sho Shimabukuro #94

6-3 3-6 7-5

3 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 4

99 Service Points 80

59 First Serve In 48

33 First Serve Won 34

22 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 8

29 Winners 15

41 Unforced Errors 33

1.9 Average Odds 1.7

J J Wolf vs Sho Shimabukuro — Prediction