ATP tennis predict — J J Wolf vs Sebastian Gorzny

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · QF 01:05

Predicted probability

J J Wolf

USA

64.69%

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

35.31%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.79

Market probability

66.59% / 33.41%

Why This Prediction?

J J Wolf is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (62 vs 2), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1773 vs 1719) and a higher Elo rating (1796 vs 1755).

Player Comparison

1795.9 Elo 1754.7

1772.9 Elo (surface) 1718.8

112 Wins (Challenger) 7

102 Wins (surface) 7

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.016 Dominance ratio 1.024

246 Rank 484

27.8 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Sebastian Gorzny

1st Serve In %

54.1%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

58.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.6%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Sebastian Gorzny

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

J J Wolf 0 – 0 Sebastian Gorzny

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-19

QF

J J Wolf #246

Sebastian Gorzny #484

7-6 1-6 7-5

12 Aces 15

1 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

42 First Serve Won 44

27 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 12

9 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

J J Wolf vs Sebastian Gorzny — Prediction