ATP tennis predict — J J Wolf vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

J J Wolf

USA

85.84%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Argentina

14.16%

Average Odds

1.04 / 9.51

Market probability

90.14% / 9.86%

Why This Prediction?

J J Wolf is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1757 vs 1386), a higher Elo rating (1779 vs 1574) and more wins on hard courts (100 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1778.6 Elo 1574.4

1756.9 Elo (surface) 1386.0

110 Wins (Challenger) 66

100 Wins (surface) 1

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.016 Dominance ratio 0.963

253 Rank 325

27.7 Age 22.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

1st Serve In %

54.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.52

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.6%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

43.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

J J Wolf 0 – 0 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

J J Wolf #246

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #320

6-2 6-0

5 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

19 First Serve Won 10

9 Second Serve Won 3

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 9.5

J J Wolf vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi — Prediction