ATP tennis predict — J J Wolf vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · SF

Predicted probability

J J Wolf

USA

51.57%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

48.43%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.25

Market probability

58.59% / 41.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1701.6 Elo 1730.5

1748.7 Elo (surface) 1731.4

108 Wins (Challenger) 25

98 Wins (surface) 25

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.068 Dominance ratio 0.943

563 Rank 376

27.6 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Jay Dylan Hara Friend

1st Serve In %

54.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.52

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.6%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

J J Wolf 0 – 1 Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-08-01

SF

J J Wolf #563

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #376

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 58

34 First Serve In 29

20 First Serve Won 27

16 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Cary challenger · 2026-06-30

1. round

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #407

J J Wolf #685

5-7 7-6 6-3

6 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 3

97 Service Points 101

63 First Serve In 66

51 First Serve Won 49

16 Second Serve Won 22

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

J J Wolf vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Prediction