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J J Wolf vs James Duckworth — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

J J Wolf

USA

72.82%

James Duckworth

Australia

27.18%

Average Odds

1.45  /  2.69

Market probability

64.98%  /  35.02%

Why This Prediction?

J J Wolf is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1789 vs 1691), a higher Elo rating (1750 vs 1659) and a stronger return game (35.6% vs 34.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1749.8 Elo 1659.0
1789 Elo (surface) 1690.9
76 Wins 168
62 Wins (surface) 112
7 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 1
1.000 Dominance ratio 1.090
282 Rank 86
27.6 Age 34.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf James Duckworth

1st Serve In %

54.1%
55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%
50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.52
0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%
52.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%
77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%
56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.6%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%
50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

J J Wolf James Duckworth

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
64.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
84.6%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

J J Wolf 01 James Duckworth

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14
7-5 7-6
5 Aces 7
3 Double Faults 3
96 Service Points 68
54 First Serve In 36
34 First Serve Won 32
21 Second Serve Won 19
5 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.7 Average Odds 1.4
Hard Brisbane · 2024-01-01
6-3 6-4
7 Aces 7
0 Double Faults 1
52 Service Points 44
36 First Serve In 32
31 First Serve Won 27
11 Second Serve Won 4
1 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

J J Wolf — Last 10

L L W W W L L W W W

James Duckworth — Last 10

L W L W W W W L W L