ATP tennis predict — Izan Almazan Valiente vs Stefan Popovic

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

29.60%

Stefan Popovic

Serbia

70.40%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.44

Market probability

72.88% / 27.12%

Why This Prediction?

Stefan Popovic is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (61.5% vs 59.5% of service points won), fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.15) and more wins on clay courts (9 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1583.3 Elo 1455.5

1561.3 Elo (surface) 1454.9

13 Wins (Challenger) 9

6 Wins (surface) 9

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.854 Dominance ratio 1.109

478 Rank 649

20.6 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Stefan Popovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Stefan Popovic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

34.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Stefan Popovic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%

50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Izan Almazan Valiente 0 – 0 Stefan Popovic

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Izan Almazan Valiente #466

Stefan Popovic #648

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Izan Almazan Valiente vs Stefan Popovic — Prediction