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Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · R16 09:00

Predicted probability

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

66.57%

Average Odds

2.46  /  1.49

Market probability

37.72%  /  62.28%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1742 vs 1660), a higher Elo rating (1748 vs 1661) and more wins on clay courts (39 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1660.9 Elo 1748.3
1660.4 Elo (surface) 1741.8
16 Wins (Challenger) 54
9 Wins (surface) 39
11 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.854 Dominance ratio 1.070
466 Rank 213
20.6 Age 19.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Maxim Mrva

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.7%
56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%
61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%
48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%
40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%
48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Maxim Mrva

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
47.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%
48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Izan Almazan Valiente and Maxim Mrva have never played each other.

Izan Almazan Valiente — Last 10

W W W L W W W L W L

Maxim Mrva — Last 10

W L L W L W W W W W