ATP tennis predict — Izan Almazan Valiente vs Gianmarco Ferrari

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

51.70%

Gianmarco Ferrari

Italy

48.30%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.86

Market probability

50.27% / 49.73%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1559.9 Elo 1488.3

1515.8 Elo (surface) 1513.7

11 Wins (Challenger) 33

4 Wins (surface) 27

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.854 Dominance ratio 0.998

491 Rank 517

20.5 Age 25.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Gianmarco Ferrari

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Gianmarco Ferrari

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Gianmarco Ferrari

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Izan Almazan Valiente 0 – 0 Gianmarco Ferrari

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Izan Almazan Valiente #478

Gianmarco Ferrari #493

6-1 6-1

2 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

23 First Serve Won 10

5 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Izan Almazan Valiente vs Gianmarco Ferrari — Prediction