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Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Felix Gill

Great Britain

48.45%

Average Odds

2.36  /  1.52

Market probability

39.18%  /  60.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1673.8 Elo 1660.0
1678.6 Elo (surface) 1653.4
18 Wins (Challenger) 58
11 Wins (surface) 41
10 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.854 Dominance ratio 0.985
428 Rank 222
20.6 Age 24.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Felix Gill

1st Serve In %

—
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
43.5%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—
64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.13
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Izan Almazan Valiente Felix Gill

Break Points Saved %

—
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

—
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
54.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.4%
41.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Izan Almazan Valiente and Felix Gill have never played each other.

Izan Almazan Valiente — Last 10

W L W W W W L W W W

Felix Gill — Last 10

W L W W L W W L L L