ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Niels Visker

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

37.84%

Niels Visker

Netherlands

62.16%

Average Odds

2.64 / 1.42

Market probability

34.98% / 65.02%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1610 vs 1479), a stronger serve (67.9% vs 61.1% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1568 vs 1517).

Player Comparison

1517.2 Elo 1567.6

1479.2 Elo (surface) 1610.3

29 Wins (Challenger) 35

19 Wins (surface) 22

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.017 Dominance ratio 1.083

370 Rank 415

28.0 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Niels Visker

1st Serve In %

—

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

18.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%

28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Niels Visker

Break Points Saved %

—

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.6%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Niels Visker have never played each other.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Niels Visker — Prediction