ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

53.87%

Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Brazil

46.13%

Average Odds

2.60 / 1.45

Market probability

35.80% / 64.20%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1581.8 Elo 1671.2

1570.2 Elo (surface) 1545.4

27 Wins (Challenger) 10

17 Wins (surface) 1

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.210 Dominance ratio 1.099

354 Rank 820

27.9 Age 21.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 0 Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Lucas Andrade Da Silva #820

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #354

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 0

69 Service Points 66

41 First Serve In 45

24 First Serve Won 31

16 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva — Prediction