Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
2.38 / 1.51
Market probability
38.82% / 61.18%
Why This Prediction?
Luca Potenza is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1561 vs 1494), a higher Elo rating (1558 vs 1542) and a stronger return game (40.9% vs 39.6% of return points won).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.
Luca Potenza
14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza have never played each other.