ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lev Seidman

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

88.05%

Lev Seidman

USA

11.95%

Average Odds

1.04 / 9.24

Market probability

89.88% / 10.12%

Why This Prediction?

Ivan Marrero Curbelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1545 vs 1500), more career match wins (26 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1562 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1562.2 Elo 1500

1545.0 Elo (surface) 1500

26 Wins (Challenger) 0

16 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.192 Dominance ratio 1.192

360 Rank 1289

27.9 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Lev Seidman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Lev Seidman

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

52.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Lev Seidman

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 0 Lev Seidman

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #354

Lev Seidman #1304

6-2 4-6 6-3

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

80 Service Points 78

53 First Serve In 41

35 First Serve Won 28

15 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 9.2

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lev Seidman — Prediction