ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

48.63%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

51.37%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.61

Market probability

42.04% / 57.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1521.2 Elo 1600.4

1498.3 Elo (surface) 1515.1

23 Wins (Challenger) 194

13 Wins (surface) 25

11 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.262 Dominance ratio 1.200

369 Rank 332

27.8 Age 33.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

—

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

—

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 0 Facundo Mena

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #369

Facundo Mena #332

6-4 6-3

0 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 2

52 Service Points 73

30 First Serve In 43

25 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 9

0 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Facundo Mena — Prediction