ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Enrique Collar

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

84.49%

Enrique Collar

Spain

15.51%

Average Odds

1.02 / 12.79

Market probability

92.61% / 7.39%

Why This Prediction?

Ivan Marrero Curbelo is the favorite because he has more career match wins (21 vs 0), better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more wins on hard courts (11 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1479.4 Elo 1500

1437.9 Elo (surface) 1500

21 Wins (Challenger) 0

11 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.331 Dominance ratio 1.331

376 Rank 2086

27.8 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Enrique Collar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Enrique Collar

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

74.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

59.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Enrique Collar

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 0 Enrique Collar

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #369

Enrique Collar #2081

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

51 Service Points 59

40 First Serve In 44

27 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 12.8

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Enrique Collar — Prediction