ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

73.02%

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

France

26.98%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.60

Market probability

64.20% / 35.80%

Why This Prediction?

Ivan Marrero Curbelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1506 vs 1366), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1475 vs 1391) and a stronger return game (48.5% vs 36.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1505.8 Elo 1366.2

1474.7 Elo (surface) 1391.0

22 Wins (Challenger) 19

12 Wins (surface) 10

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.342 Dominance ratio 0.959

369 Rank 508

27.8 Age 27.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 0 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #369

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine #508

2-6 7-6 6-2

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

89 Service Points 85

58 First Serve In 61

37 First Serve Won 39

16 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine — Prediction