ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Blaise Bicknell

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 00:10

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

62.58%

Blaise Bicknell

Jamaica

37.42%

Average Odds

2.61 / 1.45

Market probability

35.71% / 64.29%

Why This Prediction?

Ivan Marrero Curbelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1540 vs 1432), a higher Elo rating (1564 vs 1445) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 6).

Player Comparison

1564.1 Elo 1444.8

1539.6 Elo (surface) 1431.6

27 Wins (Challenger) 51

17 Wins (surface) 34

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.110 Dominance ratio 1.079

351 Rank 383

27.9 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Blaise Bicknell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Blaise Bicknell

1st Serve In %

—

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

63.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Blaise Bicknell

Break Points Saved %

—

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

70.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 0 – 0 Blaise Bicknell

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

1. round

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #351

Blaise Bicknell #383

3-6 7-5 6-2

0 Aces 8

9 Double Faults 3

85 Service Points 95

57 First Serve In 65

39 First Serve Won 41

15 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Blaise Bicknell — Prediction