ATP tennis predict — Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andrea Colombo

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Spain

57.83%

Andrea Colombo

Italy

42.17%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.67

Market probability

65.28% / 34.72%

Why This Prediction?

Ivan Marrero Curbelo is the favorite because he has more career match wins (29 vs 3), a higher Elo rating (1517 vs 1511) and more wins on hard courts (19 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1517.2 Elo 1511.4

1479.2 Elo (surface) 1535.0

29 Wins (Challenger) 3

19 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.017 Dominance ratio 0.890

370 Rank 853

28.0 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Andrea Colombo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Andrea Colombo

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo Andrea Colombo

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.6%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Andrea Colombo have never played each other.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andrea Colombo — Prediction