ATP tennis predict — Ivan Ivanov vs Ryan Peniston

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Ivan Ivanov

Bulgaria

43.57%

Ryan Peniston

Great Britain

56.43%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.07

Market probability

55.05% / 44.95%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Peniston is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1562 vs 1378), a higher Elo rating (1558 vs 1444) and more wins on hard courts (97 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1444.5 Elo 1558.4

1377.8 Elo (surface) 1561.9

7 Wins (Challenger) 124

1 Wins (surface) 97

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.206 Dominance ratio 1.083

- Rank 454

17.8 Age 30.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Ivanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ryan Peniston

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Ryan Peniston

1st Serve In %

57.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.6%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.2%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.3%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Ryan Peniston

Break Points Saved %

46.2%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

27.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Ivanov 0 – 0 Ryan Peniston

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

1. round

Ivan Ivanov #-

Ryan Peniston #448

6-0 3-6 6-4

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

81 Service Points 80

52 First Serve In 51

32 First Serve Won 30

17 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Ivan Ivanov vs Ryan Peniston — Prediction