ATP tennis predict — Ivan Ivanov vs Maximus Jones

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Ivan Ivanov

Bulgaria

44.85%

Maximus Jones

Thailand

55.15%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.76

Market probability

47.18% / 52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Maximus Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1529 vs 1414), a higher Elo rating (1504 vs 1456) and more wins on hard courts (36 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1456.4 Elo 1503.6

1414.1 Elo (surface) 1529.1

8 Wins (Challenger) 47

2 Wins (surface) 36

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.254 Dominance ratio 1.064

- Rank 489

17.8 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Ivanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Maximus Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Maximus Jones

1st Serve In %

57.0%

46.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

1.75

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.6%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.2%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.3%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Maximus Jones

Break Points Saved %

46.2%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Ivanov 0 – 0 Maximus Jones

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-02

1. round

Ivan Ivanov #-

Maximus Jones #489

6-0 6-4

5 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

51 Service Points 53

27 First Serve In 35

19 First Serve Won 16

14 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Ivan Ivanov vs Maximus Jones — Prediction