ATP tennis predict — Ivan Ivanov vs Mark Lajal

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · R16 18:15

Predicted probability

Ivan Ivanov

Bulgaria

25.82%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

74.18%

Average Odds

4.59 / 1.18

Market probability

20.45% / 79.55%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1720 vs 1492), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1721 vs 1471) and more wins on hard courts (122 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1491.9 Elo 1719.9

1471.5 Elo (surface) 1721.2

9 Wins (Challenger) 136

3 Wins (surface) 122

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.262 Dominance ratio 1.145

- Rank 152

17.8 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Ivanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

57.0%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.6%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.2%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

46.2%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Ivanov 0 – 0 Mark Lajal

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Mark Lajal #152

Ivan Ivanov #-

6-3 6-7 6-4

3 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 8

102 Service Points 93

66 First Serve In 55

35 First Serve Won 43

15 Second Serve Won 13

8 Break Points Saved 2

15 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Ivan Ivanov vs Mark Lajal — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Ivan Ivanov — Last 10

Mark Lajal — Last 10