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Ivan Ivanov vs Adrian Andreev — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · R16 09:00

Predicted probability

Ivan Ivanov

Bulgaria

44.51%

Adrian Andreev

Bulgaria

55.49%

Average Odds

2.08  /  1.66

Market probability

44.39%  /  55.61%

Why This Prediction?

Adrian Andreev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1652 vs 1453), more wins on clay courts (78 vs 3) and a higher Elo rating (1604 vs 1565).

Player Comparison

1565.2 Elo 1604.2
1452.7 Elo (surface) 1651.7
10 Wins (Challenger) 119
3 Wins (surface) 78
8 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.272 Dominance ratio 0.918
- Rank 819
17.9 Age 25.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Ivanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adrian Andreev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Adrian Andreev

1st Serve In %

57.0%
66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%
65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%
26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%
53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.6%
59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.2%
53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.3%
34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%
49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Ivanov Adrian Andreev

Break Points Saved %

46.2%
44.4%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%
38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%
55.7%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%
36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Ivanov and Adrian Andreev have never played each other.

Ivan Ivanov — Last 10

W L W L W L L L W L

Adrian Andreev — Last 10

W W W L W W W W L L