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Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Ivan Gakhov

Russia

41.43%

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

58.57%

Average Odds

1.71  /  2.02

Market probability

54.16%  /  45.84%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1603 vs 1558).

Player Comparison

1586.7 Elo 1603.4
1558.5 Elo (surface) 1603.1
159 Wins (Challenger) 23
130 Wins (surface) 22
5 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.841 Dominance ratio 1.019
434 Rank 619
29.9 Age 22.5
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ivan Gakhov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Gakhov Yanaki Milev

1st Serve In %

62.4%
58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%
33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%
48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%
65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%
64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%
48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%
34.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ivan Gakhov Yanaki Milev

Break Points Saved %

60.6%
51.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%
31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ivan Gakhov and Yanaki Milev have never played each other.

Ivan Gakhov — Last 10

L W W L L L L W L W

Yanaki Milev — Last 10

W W L W W L W W W W