ATP tennis predict — Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Sumit Nagal

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Spain

38.81%

Sumit Nagal

India

61.19%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.00

Market probability

53.62% / 46.38%

Why This Prediction?

Sumit Nagal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1686 vs 1637), more wins on clay courts (168 vs 28) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1680 vs 1640).

Player Comparison

1637.0 Elo 1685.6

1640.2 Elo (surface) 1679.6

71 Wins (Challenger) 218

28 Wins (surface) 168

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.972 Dominance ratio 1.157

354 Rank 373

23.8 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Sumit Nagal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Sumit Nagal

1st Serve In %

58.2%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.5%

61.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

38.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

42.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Sumit Nagal

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

18.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.9%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Inaki Montes De La Torre 0 – 0 Sumit Nagal

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Sumit Nagal #246

Inaki Montes De La Torre #272

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 0

9 Double Faults 4

59 Service Points 49

35 First Serve In 36

20 First Serve Won 24

9 Second Serve Won 9

5 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2 Average Odds 1.7

Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Sumit Nagal — Prediction