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Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Raul Brancaccio — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.01  /  1.66

Market probability

45.23%  /  54.77%

Why This Prediction?

Inaki Montes De La Torre is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1685 vs 1540), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1593 vs 1540) and a stronger return game (43.6% vs 38.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1685.3 Elo 1540.1
1592.6 Elo (surface) 1539.9
79 Wins (Challenger) 165
28 Wins (surface) 115
9 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.145 Dominance ratio 1.144
274 Rank 224
23.9 Age 29.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Raul Brancaccio

1st Serve In %

58.2%
59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.5%
71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%
48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%
32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%
58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%
38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%
55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Raul Brancaccio

Break Points Saved %

56.7%
58.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.9%
54.9%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%
37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Inaki Montes De La Torre and Raul Brancaccio have never played each other.

Inaki Montes De La Torre — Last 10

L L W W W W L W W W

Raul Brancaccio — Last 10

W L L W W L L L W L