ATP tennis predict — Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Oskari Paldanius

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Spain

79.84%

Oskari Paldanius

Finland

20.16%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.95

Market probability

68.60% / 31.40%

Why This Prediction?

Inaki Montes De La Torre is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1618 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1611 vs 1476) and more career match wins (72 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1610.7 Elo 1476.3

1618.2 Elo (surface) 1499.7

72 Wins (Challenger) 2

44 Wins (surface) 2

11 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.033 Dominance ratio 0.938

275 Rank 1052

23.9 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Oskari Paldanius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Oskari Paldanius

1st Serve In %

58.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.12

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Oskari Paldanius

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.9%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

54.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Inaki Montes De La Torre 0 – 0 Oskari Paldanius

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Inaki Montes De La Torre #280

Oskari Paldanius #834

4-6 6-4 6-4

0 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 3

98 Service Points 114

64 First Serve In 89

40 First Serve Won 53

18 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 11

10 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Oskari Paldanius — Prediction