ATP tennis predict — Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · QF 14:30

Predicted probability

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Spain

50.48%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

49.52%

Average Odds

2.38 / 1.53

Market probability

39.13% / 60.87%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1669.9 Elo 1675.5

1682.0 Elo (surface) 1605.7

77 Wins (Challenger) 55

49 Wins (surface) 37

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.296 Dominance ratio 0.799

274 Rank 165

23.9 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

58.2%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.5%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Inaki Montes De La Torre Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.9%

40.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Inaki Montes De La Torre 0 – 0 Jack Pinnington Jones

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Inaki Montes De La Torre #274

Jack Pinnington Jones #165

3-6 6-3 3-0

0 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 5

59 Service Points 63

29 First Serve In 38

17 First Serve Won 26

17 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction