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Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Pedro Vives Marcos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.13  /  1.33

Market probability

29.82%  /  70.18%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Vives Marcos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1635 vs 1465), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1633 vs 1505) and fewer double faults per game (0.16 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1465.4 Elo 1635.4
1504.8 Elo (surface) 1633.1
16 Wins (Challenger) 17
16 Wins (surface) 5
5 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.009 Dominance ratio 1.153
590 Rank 538
26.8 Age 25.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Imanol Lopez Morillo Pedro Vives Marcos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

55.4%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%
66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%
48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%
32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.19
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Imanol Lopez Morillo Pedro Vives Marcos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
60.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%
45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Imanol Lopez Morillo 00 Pedro Vives Marcos

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Pedro Vives Marcos #538

Imanol Lopez Morillo #590

6-3 7-5
1 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 2
58 Service Points 72
34 First Serve In 46
19 First Serve Won 34
14 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Imanol Lopez Morillo — Last 10

L L L L W L L L L L

Pedro Vives Marcos — Last 10

L W L W W W W W L L