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Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Adrian Oetzbach — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Adrian Oetzbach

Germany

43.19%

Average Odds

2.01  /  1.74

Market probability

46.40%  /  53.60%

Why This Prediction?

Imanol Lopez Morillo is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (43.5% vs 35.7% of return points won), a stronger serve (57.9% vs 56.3% of service points won) and more career match wins (17 vs 14).

Player Comparison

1441.1 Elo 1426.4
1456.1 Elo (surface) 1437.0
17 Wins (Challenger) 14
17 Wins (surface) 12
4 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.034 Dominance ratio 0.817
675 Rank 551
26.9 Age 28.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adrian Oetzbach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Imanol Lopez Morillo Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

55.9%
63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%
44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.2%
31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Imanol Lopez Morillo Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

46.3%
46.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%
41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Imanol Lopez Morillo and Adrian Oetzbach have never played each other.

Imanol Lopez Morillo — Last 10

W L L L L W L L L L

Adrian Oetzbach — Last 10

W L L L L L W W L L