ATP tennis predict — Ilya Ivashka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

48.53%

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

51.47%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.89

Market probability

50.67% / 49.33%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1652.2 Elo 1582.3

1670.4 Elo (surface) 1614.5

133 Wins (Challenger) 96

117 Wins (surface) 87

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.958 Dominance ratio 1.191

393 Rank 268

32.5 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Yu Hsiou Hsu

1st Serve In %

60.9%

68.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Yu Hsiou Hsu

Break Points Saved %

62.6%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ilya Ivashka 0 – 0 Yu Hsiou Hsu

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Ilya Ivashka #393

Yu Hsiou Hsu #268

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 0

41 Service Points 54

21 First Serve In 38

21 First Serve Won 21

15 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Ilya Ivashka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Prediction