ATP tennis predict — Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · QF 09:00

Predicted probability

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

51.83%

Yi Zhou

China

48.17%

Average Odds

1.75 / 2.00

Market probability

53.33% / 46.67%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1742.3 Elo 1653.7

1726.8 Elo (surface) 1617.6

135 Wins (Challenger) 46

119 Wins (surface) 40

11 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.044 Dominance ratio 1.076

393 Rank 248

32.5 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Yi Zhou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Yi Zhou

1st Serve In %

60.9%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Yi Zhou

Break Points Saved %

62.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ilya Ivashka 1 – 0 Yi Zhou

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Ilya Ivashka #393

Yi Zhou #248

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 30

14 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Ilya Ivashka #393

Yi Zhou #248

3-6 7-6 6-3

6 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 5

79 Service Points 108

48 First Serve In 69

35 First Serve Won 49

20 Second Serve Won 19

0 Break Points Saved 10

3 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou — Prediction