ATP tennis predict — Ilya Ivashka vs Oscar Weightman

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

68.25%

Oscar Weightman

Great Britain

31.75%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.30

Market probability

78.47% / 21.53%

Why This Prediction?

Ilya Ivashka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1637 vs 1479), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1650 vs 1504) and more wins on hard courts (91 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1636.6 Elo 1479.4

1649.8 Elo (surface) 1503.9

128 Wins (Challenger) 14

112 Wins (surface) 11

12 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.065 Dominance ratio 1.313

401 Rank 697

32.4 Age 24.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Oscar Weightman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Oscar Weightman

1st Serve In %

60.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.31

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

52.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

54.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Oscar Weightman

Break Points Saved %

62.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ilya Ivashka 0 – 0 Oscar Weightman

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Ilya Ivashka #402

Oscar Weightman #701

6-4 6-1

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 0

68 Service Points 47

36 First Serve In 31

29 First Serve Won 20

11 Second Serve Won 7

3 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.3

Ilya Ivashka vs Oscar Weightman — Prediction