ATP tennis predict — Ilya Ivashka vs M Kumar

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

90.54%

M Kumar

Sweden

9.46%

Average Odds

1.01 / 14.58

Market probability

93.52% / 6.48%

Why This Prediction?

Ilya Ivashka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1500) and more career match wins (127 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1629.8 Elo 1500

1642.4 Elo (surface) 1500

127 Wins (Challenger) 0

111 Wins (surface) 0

12 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.080 Dominance ratio 1.080

401 Rank 1407

32.4 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

M Kumar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka M Kumar

1st Serve In %

60.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.31

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka M Kumar

Break Points Saved %

62.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ilya Ivashka and M Kumar have never played each other.

Ilya Ivashka vs M Kumar — Prediction