ATP tennis predict — Ilya Ivashka vs Aziz Ouakaa

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

72.25%

Aziz Ouakaa

Tunisia

27.75%

Average Odds

1.15 / 5.03

Market probability

81.39% / 18.61%

Why This Prediction?

Ilya Ivashka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1503), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1648 vs 1526) and a stronger serve (68.2% vs 56.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1629.8 Elo 1503.2

1648.2 Elo (surface) 1526.4

124 Wins (Challenger) 15

108 Wins (surface) 13

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.374 Dominance ratio 0.921

554 Rank 525

32.4 Age 26.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Aziz Ouakaa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Aziz Ouakaa

1st Serve In %

60.9%

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ilya Ivashka Aziz Ouakaa

Break Points Saved %

62.6%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ilya Ivashka 0 – 0 Aziz Ouakaa

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Ilya Ivashka #554

Aziz Ouakaa #525

6-1 6-0

3 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

34 Service Points 32

22 First Serve In 19

19 First Serve Won 9

9 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Ilya Ivashka vs Aziz Ouakaa — Prediction