ATP tennis predict — Iiro Vasa vs Giorgio Tabacco

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Iiro Vasa

Finland

44.56%

Giorgio Tabacco

Italy

55.44%

Average Odds

3.28 / 1.30

Market probability

28.38% / 71.62%

Why This Prediction?

Giorgio Tabacco is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (8 vs 2), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1487 vs 1423) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1469.2 Elo 1484.7

1423.3 Elo (surface) 1487.0

4 Wins (Challenger) 8

2 Wins (surface) 8

4 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.088 Dominance ratio 0.795

988 Rank 739

None Age 23.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Iiro Vasa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Giorgio Tabacco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Iiro Vasa Giorgio Tabacco

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.8%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Iiro Vasa Giorgio Tabacco

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

47.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

63.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Iiro Vasa 0 – 0 Giorgio Tabacco

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Giorgio Tabacco #683

Iiro Vasa #992

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

61 Service Points 44

39 First Serve In 33

18 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 5

7 Break Points Saved 0

11 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Iiro Vasa vs Giorgio Tabacco — Prediction